Wen Bin, chief economist of Minsheng Bank: The "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continues to narrow, reflecting the positive trend of the economy. "The total financial volume has grown steadily, and the liquidity is reasonable and abundant, which has maintained strong support for the real economy." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, believes that the year-on-year growth rate of narrow money (M1) balance rebounded in November compared with last month, and the "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continued to narrow, reflecting the positive economic trend. Wen Bin introduced that the medium and long-term loans of households in China are mainly personal housing mortgage loans. With the real estate financial policy taking effect, the phenomenon of early repayment of personal loans has been significantly reduced, and personal loans will continue to stabilize and rebound. The recent improvement of commercial housing transaction data and financial data confirms each other, and the confidence of the real estate market and residents is further enhanced.Brazilian President's Office: Brazilian President Lula recovered well after surgery, and his speech and diet were normal.UBS raised the target price of Broadcom from $200 to $220.
Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)Faba Bank: The Fed will formulate policies in consideration of inflation risks. Economists at Faba Bank wrote that it may be difficult for Fed officials to formulate and discuss monetary policies "without being involved in the debate on President-elect Trump's potential economic policies". They expect FOMC to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, as reflected by the market. They added that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell "may use the press conference to provide options for further relaxing the suspension of monetary policy." They don't expect him to directly comment on Trump's policies, "but FOMC will formulate policies consistent with managing high inflation risks," economists said.Jiaying Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.: It plans to buy back 7 million to 13.5 million shares. Jiaying Pharmaceutical announced that it plans to use its own funds to buy back some issued RMB common shares (A shares) by centralized bidding for the implementation of employee stock ownership plan or equity incentive. The price of repurchased shares is not higher than 9.80 yuan/share (inclusive), and the number of shares to be repurchased is not less than 7 million shares (inclusive), accounting for about 1.3793% of the company's total share capital; And no more than 13.5 million shares (inclusive), accounting for about 2.6600% of the company's total share capital. The repurchase period is within 12 months from the date when the company's board of directors deliberated and approved the share repurchase plan.
Morgan Stanley kept Apple's target price at $273.00.This week, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange took self-regulatory measures against 171 abnormal securities trading behaviors, and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange released regulatory trends: 1. Regulatory trends of listed companies (December 6-December 12, 2024) From December 6 to December 12, the Exchange took disciplinary action against one violation, involving information disclosure and standardized operation violations; Supervision letters were issued for 9 violations, 3 related to information disclosure and standardized operation violations, and 6 related to securities trading violations. This week, 18 inquiry letters and 5 other letters were sent out. II. Market Trading Supervision Dynamics (December 9-December 13, 2024) From December 9 to December 13, the Exchange took self-regulatory measures against 171 abnormal securities trading behaviors, involving abnormal trading situations such as intraday bidding, false declaration, etc. Focus on monitoring "*ST Tongzhou" with abnormal stock price fluctuation recently; A total of 9 major events of listed companies were verified, and 3 clues of suspected illegal cases were reported to the CSRC. (Issued by Shenzhen Stock Exchange)Morgan Stanley raised Broadcom target price from $180.00 to $233.00.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14